I can't imagine dual sport riders getting excited about a low fender 250 with a fairing that weighs as much as my LC4. And most commuters want a bit more engine than that. So I suspect it would find the same market here that the NX250 found. As I remember it Honda couldn't give those things away back in the day. It will probably sell great in places where bikes are used for basic transportation. But, for the most part, the US isn't that kind of place.
A man who can laugh, if only at himself, is never really miserable.