Similar thing happened at A1 a few years ago; Josh Grant won the race while the title favorites, Reed/Villopoto/Dungey all fell or just had terrible setups. A1 is always a toss up.
With that said, I'm not sure Villopoto is truly in consistent race mode, as is Stewart. Remember, Villopoto has only raced 3 times in the past 8 months, while Stewart has barely touched a track as part of a race in the past 18 months.
I think Reed and Villopoto both rebound this week, with Canard still in the thick of it. Barcia needs time to still figure out the indoors on the 450 (he's an extremely talented outdoor rider, where his "who gives a fuck!" riding style really works).
I'll take Villopoto, Dungey and Canard podium. Millsaps to put in another good top 5 run.
"The bold adventurer succeeds the best.” - Ovid
WTB: Plated KTM EXC450/525 RFS, Honda CRF450X, Suzuki RMZ450